Андрій Щербань,
Заступник генерального директора ТОВ “Українська бурова компанія”
Managing Director “Agentic Streamline”
The global oil and gas sector is entering a decisive stage of technological transformation. For decades, the industry has relied on incremental improvements—more efficient rigs, better drilling fluids, and refined safety procedures. Today, however, the shift is far more fundamental. Artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming an operational core rather than a peripheral tool, reshaping exploration, well design, and drilling execution. What was once a vision of “digital oilfields” is now evolving into intelligent wells that are monitored, optimized, and safeguarded by machine intelligence.
Historically, drilling was a reactive exercise. When torque spiked unexpectedly, mud pressure collapsed, or a drill string became stuck, crews responded after the fact. Such delays carried a heavy financial penalty—non-productive time (NPT) on high-cost offshore rigs can amount to hundreds of thousands of dollars per day.
AI fundamentally alters this dynamic. Through the continuous analysis of high-frequency data from rig sensors, algorithms can detect anomalies and, more importantly, predict equipment failures before they occur. Predictive maintenance thus becomes a powerful driver of efficiency: early intervention on pumps, top drives, or mud circulation systems prevents catastrophic failures and dramatically reduces downtime.
In parallel, AI enables drilling process optimization. Advanced machine learning models fine-tune weight-on-bit, rotation speed, and mud flow in real time to maximize rate of penetration (ROP). By leveraging digital twins—virtual representations of the wellbore and geological environment—operators can simulate drilling scenarios, evaluate risks, and implement the most efficient parameters with unprecedented accuracy.
Geosteering is another area of progress. AI-driven interpretation of measurement-while-drilling (MWD) and logging-while-drilling (LWD) data ensures that drill bits remain within the most productive reservoir zones. This precision, far superior to conventional approaches, directly translates into higher recovery factors and improved project economics.
Beyond efficiency, AI enhances operational safety and regulatory compliance. By identifying early indicators of a potential blowout, AI systems can trigger alerts or automatically initiate well-control protocols. Such proactive measures reduce the likelihood of catastrophic incidents and improve worker safety.
Equally important, AI streamlines the often cumbersome process of regulatory reporting. Automated documentation of drilling parameters ensures accuracy, consistency, and alignment with national and international compliance frameworks—an increasingly important factor as ESG reporting becomes a standard expectation.
Despite clear benefits, the industry faces significant hurdles in scaling AI solutions:
● Legacy infrastructure. Many rigs operate on proprietary, closed systems designed decades ago. Retrofitting them for real-time data sharing is technically challenging and financially costly.
● Data heterogeneity. Seismic surveys, mud logs, and rig sensors produce massive but fragmented datasets. Cleaning, standardizing, and integrating this information requires substantial investment.
● Talent shortages. There is a shortage of “hybrid professionals” who combine petroleum engineering expertise with data science competencies. Bridging this skills gap is essential for industry-wide adoption.
● Cultural resistance. A risk-averse mindset persists among operators and contractors, making investment in AI—often perceived as untested or disruptive—difficult to justify, even with strong business cases.
Looking forward, several trends are poised to accelerate AI’s penetration into drilling operations:
1. Autonomous drilling agents. These systems function as “digital engineers,” making parameter adjustments without constant human oversight, thus reducing human error and increasing operational consistency.
2. Generative AI applications. Beyond text and images, generative algorithms can synthesize missing well logs, design optimized drilling programs through millions of scenario simulations, and even propose innovative bit geometries.
3. Sustainability integration. AI-driven optimization reduces energy intensity per drilled meter, lowers emissions, and minimizes waste from unplanned equipment failures. Moreover, AI is being tested in well placement strategies for carbon capture and storage (CCS), linking drilling innovation directly to climate objectives.
The concept of the “intelligent well” is no longer theoretical. Market forecasts estimate that AI applications in oil and gas will exceed $25 billion by 2034, underscoring industry confidence in this technological transition. The value proposition is compelling: predictive maintenance yields efficiency gains of 25–50% and cost reductions of up to 30%, while autonomous systems and generative models promise to redefine the economics of drilling.
Challenges remain—chiefly in data quality, workforce development, and integration with legacy assets. Yet the companies that navigate these obstacles will secure not just short-term efficiencies but long-term leadership in an industry under pressure to deliver safer, cleaner, and more reliable energy.
AI is, quite literally, redrawing the competitive map of global drilling. The decisive question is not whether it will reshape the industry, but which operators will emerge as its architects.